A variety of comments recently from visitors to the cave have revealed a range of underlying attitudes to our future. Here are some words for you:
Many people feel as if we are heading into dark times:
Turning and turning in the widening gyre
The falcon cannot hear the falconer;
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;
Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,
The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere
The ceremony of innocence is drowned;
The best lack all conviction, while the worst
Are full of passionate intensity.
W.B. Yeats, The Second Coming
But we shouldn’t give ourselves up to despair:
Say not the struggle naught availeth,
The labour and the wounds are vain,
The enemy faints not, nor faileth,
And as things have been, they remain.
If hopes were dupes, fears may be liars;
It may be, in yon smoke conceal’d,
Your comrades chase e’en now the fliers,
And, but for you, possess the field.
For while the tired waves, vainly breaking,
Seem here no painful inch to gain,
Far back, through creeks and inlets making,
Comes silent, flooding in, the main.
And not by Eastern windows only,
When daylight comes, comes in the light;
In front, the sun climbs slow, how slowly!
But westward, look, the land is bright!
Arthur Hugh Clough: Say not the Struggle Naught availeth
And finally, here is one of my favourite poems. Siegfried Sassoon fought gallantly in the First World War, and lived through some of the most horrifying scenes of slaughter and pointless, ugly death imaginable; beyond our imagining. And we remember the fallen this week, those who died in war and battle, and share the poignant bitterness of loss and regret. But even amidst the horror, Sassoon finds beauty; in this case, the beauty of the irrepressible strength of the human spirit, the possibility of redemption through joy, even in the darkness:
Everyone suddenly burst out singing;
And I was fill’d with such delight
As prison’d birds must find in freedom
Winging wildly across the white
Orchards and dark-green fields; on; on; and out of sight.
Everyone’s voice was suddenly lifted,
And beauty came like the setting sun.
My heart was shaken with tears; and horror
Drifted away . . . O but every one
Was a bird; and the song was wordless; the singing will never be done.
Siegfried Sassoon, Everyone Sang
Troubles come and troubles go, mostly of our own making. People struggle and suffer and endure, for that is how we are. The world changes around us, and not always for the better. Real life, for many people, is still nasty, brutish and short. The signs for the future are not good, at the moment; in the words of ‘The Terminator’; ‘There’s a storm coming…’
Our despair is that we are filled with human frailty.
Our hope is that we are filled with indomitable spirit.
That’s me, being pompous again.

4 comments
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November 7, 2007 at 6:08 pm
Steve Reynolds
>The world changes around us, and not always for the better. Real life, for many people, is still nasty, brutish and short.
As you say, we have a range of underlying attitudes to our future. The world is certainly changing rapidly, but I see this as a time when the ‘nasty, brutish and short’ part is improving more rapidly than any time in history. And this improvement is sustainable as long as we can continue technological progress at a rate even close to what has been accomplished over the last 300 years.
If anything, technological progress should accelerate, given the billions of additional people that are gaining access to favorable economic systems, education, and resources to contribute to that progress.
November 7, 2007 at 6:25 pm
Steve Reynolds
Here is a song for my side:
http://www-users.cs.york.ac.uk/susan//sf/filk/hopeeyri.htm
Hope Eyrie
Leslie Fish
——————————————————————————–
Worlds grow old and suns grow cold
And death we never can doubt.
Time’s cold wind, wailing down the past,
Reminds us that all flesh is grass
And history’s lamps blow out.
CHORUS:
But the Eagle has landed; tell your children when.
Time won’t drive us down to dust again.
Cycles turn while the far stars burn,
And people and planets age.
Life’s crown passes to younger lands,
Time brushes dust of hope from his hands
And turns another page.
CHORUS
But we who feel the weight of the wheel
When winter falls over our world
Can hope for tomorrow and raise our eyes
To a silver moon in the open skies
and a single flag unfurled.
CHORUS
We know well what Life can tell:
If you would not perish, then grow.
And today our fragile flesh and steel
Have laid their hands on a vaster wheel
With all of the stars to know
CHORUS That the…
From all who tried out of history’s tide,
Salute for the team that won.
And the old Earth smiles at her children’s reach,
The wave that carried us up the beach
To reach for the shining sun.
CHORUS For the…
November 8, 2007 at 1:36 am
fergusbrown
I’m not sure whether we can attribute all the gains to technology, or to wealth, or relative political stability, or natural expansion as a function of population growth dynamics. I agree that progress in the modern age towards a better life for ever more people has been faster than ever, but progress has been very slow in some places, and nonexistent for large numbers of people, mainly outside the cities.
As far as the progress being sustainable, I’m wondering whether that in turn depends on other key social factors being in play, which depend on economic or social conditions conducive to ongoing research and development. It isn’t progress, or even technology, which is really the problem; technological development of more efficient machines which use fewer resources and require less energy to produce or use is surely a ‘good thing’.
The problem appears to lie in two areas: one, the requirement of one or more countries that they remain at the ‘top of the pile’ as far as wealth and influence goes, and the requirement by several countries, that they are allowed to catch up with the ‘developed’ world technologically and socially. The model (rapid industrialisation) being used to do the latter is placing huge demand on all resources, as it involves about a quarter of the planet’s population or more, and they are trying to catch up in a fraction of the time it took the developed nations to reach the stage they are at.
If we can get the technological development without the surge in resource depletion, fine. If not, the question is then what use any technology will be in the circumstances we may find ourselves? William Blake comes to mind; what sort of world do we want to live in? What price are we willing to pay for more progress? Should we be taking a step back and considering our options, rather than ploughing ahead, if we are being warned that our progress could face strong ‘natural’ opposition if we continue?
November 8, 2007 at 3:57 am
Steve Reynolds
Good, but complex questions, Fergus. I agree that we need to be careful to understand any ‘natural’ opposition.
How about some simpler questions:
Related to: >…that they are allowed to catch up with the ‘developed’ world technologically and socially.
Is there any justification to attempt to reduce the speed that the people of China and India, for example, “catch up with the ‘developed’ world technologically and socially”, in order to reduce the demand for resources? If just to keep the price of oil from getting too high, we probably agree the answer is no.
What if the choice involved very limited species extinction? If the only effect was polar bear extinction, could we justify keeping billions of people in poverty? My answer is no.