Surviving a threat has a way of focussing the mind. For the past few days, the question of priorities has been uppermost. What is important, what is not needed? What and who do I care enough about to invest time in, having been made aware that time is the defining resource limitation?
The heart attack has served to remind me of what might be considered my core philosophy, the essential, buck-stops-here points. Which, at the same time, serves to remind why I thought, a year or so back, that pursuing the questions posed by climate change, and switching occupations, were worthwhile.
Being enagaged in an enforced idleness at home, sat on a day bed contemplating the options of computer chess or daytime TV, I am reminded that, for me, the meaning of being, the purpose of existence, is tied intimately and inexorably to the well-being and happiness of others (you, if you like). A person’s life in and of itself, self-contained and complete (all false imaginings, I promise you), is a very little thing, of small significance. What makes a life big, what makes it full, what gives it meaning and value, is the manner and extent of its interactions with other people.
And here is the connection with climate change and the current state of discussions. Notwithstanding the few who insist otherwise, by and large we are aware that there is a sickness, a malaise, a problem with our world (our home). Whilst one or two will dispute the causes, of more concern is the disagreement over the solutions; how should we treat the patient?
I suspect that it is going to be difficult to decide the best treatments, though, unless we first establish the priorities for governments and industry. Beyond that, we need to establish the priorities for communities and social groups; beyond that, the priorities for families and micro-communities. Which also means establishing our own, individual priorities.
I have established, to my own satisfaction, my list of priorities for a happy and fulfilling life. It goes: People (here and now and present); people future; place/world (environment)[home] and all that it contains; the Future; the rest.
Here is an arrogant suggestion, then. Let’s try this as a template for good decision making about climate change, about adaptation and mitigation, about policy, ,investment and cost.
First priority goes to the problems which need dealing with now; Darfur, Timor, Zimbabwe, poverty, unnecessary death, AIDS, water, food…
Then there are the problems which need dealing with to secure the future for people; food, water, medicine, peace, justice, liberty…
The next priority are the problems which, if they have not already had to be addressed because of the above, relate to the environment, the world, etc; conservation, preservation, protection from exploitation, biodiversity… (though, not unsurprisingly, many of the problems of the first two sets of priorities also involve an attitude to the third set).
The next priority is to resolve the potential longer-term problems; sea levels, water supply, agriculture, resource exploitation…
And, finally, we can invest time, effort and money into to dealing with the other shit.
This set of priorities should be usable to guide us to making first decisions about where effort is needed and how important it should be compared to other issues.
More on that, later.
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March 30, 2008 at 6:50 pm
dennis
Fergus,
I like what you’ve posted here and I’d like to add a few thoughts of my own along this line.
I believe that as human intelligence advances, it is natural for us to begin to embrace larger circles in our concerns. Me, my family, my village, my town, my city, my state, and my world is a progression that expresses this idea. Most of us are still focused at the family level and most of us are still driven unconsciously by our biological imperatives which means that our deepest motivations concern the preservation and propagation of our own genetic seeds.
But, self consciousness and introspection can advance humans along this progression more quickly. Indeed, when the communist theorists suggested that “from each according to his ability and to each according to his need”, they were promoting a state composed of people who held the good of everyone in the state as their highest good. But, as history has shown, it was an idea far too ahead of its time to have had any chance of success.
The average man thinks ahead to Friday to his paycheck and not much farther. The more intelligent man arranges his behavior and connections at work to secure his advancement within the local structure. An even more intelligent man, goes to university so that when he steps into the world of work, he’s already stepped in at a high level. Some folks never save a dime and others begin their retirement accounts in their twenties. Some folks promote local issues and local politicians whereas others embrace national or global issues. We can see this differentiation of action as a function of intelligence all around us.
When you talk about the “well being and happiness of others”, I sense that you’ve embraced the good of all of us as a species as being the most appropriate field of action. And I applaud your choice.
I tend to think this way as well. But, I’m wary of the “can’t see the forest for the trees” problem we humans are always so blindsided by. So, I make it a conscious and intentional part of my approach to always try to take the highest POV and to free myself of any biases I may have. When I first read about Xenobiology/Exobiology, I found it very interesting because it was an attempt to see biological forms like us from outside of our local prejudices and assumptions. Some Sci-Fi novels like “FootFall” have been quite helpful in thinking about this as have studies on Dolphins like some of the stuff John C. Lilly did.
So, to turn back to the Earth and our local problems here – one of the things I wonder about is why we haven’t heard from other life forms in this galaxy? (think Drake Equation). And I wonder/suspect that it may be because biological evolution usually follows a similar course regardless of where it arises. Chemical self-replication, as it matures and complexifies, engenders a deep urge or biological imperative to survive, to propagate and to protect its progeny until they themselves can propagate. And the purpose of this ‘urge’,of course, is to continue and optimize self-replication. In a survival sense, the ones who would have tended to survive, would have been the very ones in which the urge was most prominent and thus it was conserved and enshrined at the very core of our beings in all of our biological forms here on Earth (and elsewhere where ever life has evolved, I suspect).
Here on Earth, this urge has driven an arms race of biological evolution from the very beginning of biological time with each form trying to out compete each other for resources. As an enabling motivation, the biological imperatives worked well though most of biological time. Until one species stumbled into a series of new adaptations that led to generalize intelligence, the ability to embrace higher abstractions and to possess self-awareness. And then everything changed. The relative balance of power that had tenuously existed among all the evolving forms over time, was suddenly upset by one species with an adaptation which could transcend them all with the ring of intelligence. And this species, brushing off the feeble attempts of the other species to compete, quickly began to expand and fill all the niches and all of the land and to consume the majority of the planet’s resources. Why? Because, in spite of its higher intelligence, Man was and is still driven blindly and unconsciously by the same biological imperatives that have always driven biological forms on this planet – it simply didn’t know when to stop.
So back to Xenobiology/Exobiology and the Drake Equation. Might this sequence be followed widely in the universe where ever life evolves? Personally, I think it probable. This makes the sort of thing that Brownlee and Ward were talking about in their book, “Rare Earth”, more poignant still. Because, if higher forms of life evolve only rarely and then it has an inborn tendency to destroy itself once it evolves to the level of generalized intelligence, then it makes avoiding these mistake ever so much more pressing for us.
So, now to finally return to the points you were making, Fergus. Darfur, Timor, Zimbabwe…? I think not, my friend. They are good motivations but there are much bigger issues on the table here. I’m persuaded that history will probably follow an arc somewhat like the one described recently by James Lovelock who thinks that a very large die off of human beings and a major disruption of the biosphere is coming soon. Against a backdrop like that, Darfur and the other places you listed (in spite of the horrific suffering happening there), will seem as irrelevant in the not too distant future as was the porter who was obsessed with arranging the deck furniture on the Titanic that fateful evening.
So, to me, the deepest issue to understand is what drives us to do what we’re doing to this world? And, once we think we understand that, what can we do with that understanding to alter the course we are on? These questions cut beneath all else and as such, I believe, they are the logical extension of what I was talking about when I began this when I mentioned the progression of “Me, my family, my village, my town, my city, my state, and my world”. I think that the highest good for all of us is best served by asking the deepest questions we can conceive of.
April 1, 2008 at 7:43 pm
David
Fergus,
I have admired and learnt much from your blog since discovering it last year, and truly hope that you are recuperating well from last month’s events.
We are just starting to assemble a team of web-savvy, climate change experts, to help build what we hope will gradually mature into a definitive map of the climate change policy debate.
There’s a basic skeleton of the map in place on the site: but, as you will see, there’s much to be done to bring it to maturity.
If the mapping approach we are taking to the debate appeals to you, I would be delighted to guide you through the process of contributing arguments, evidence, and options to the map.
You are welcome to join us in this process at any time; so, if your instinct is that participation now would be anything other than therapeutic, please trust that instinct: we will happily wait.
David
April 3, 2008 at 2:58 am
Aaron Lewis
As we set priorities for our families, communities, countries, and species we should consider what are potential risks relative to our resources. We should consider time frames, a risk in the distant future is a lower priority than a more immediate risk.
I live in California near an earthquake fault that is going to “GO” in maybe the next 30 years, and make a big mess of everything out here. I do not see people being adequately prepared for it.
Global warming is a more abstract process, and people are even less prepared. For example, we use a great deal of oil to grow our food, to the extent that growing more food means more global warming.
The difference between us is that I think we could have perceptible “sea level events” within 10 years and sea level events that impact industrial and urban infrastructure within 20 years, with catastrophic impacts from sea level rise within 30 years.
I see a similar urgency in planning for an earthquake and planning for global warming. However, planning for a big earthquake on the Hayward Fault is easy. Planning for global warming is hard. How many people know how to grow food without using a good deal of oil? Not many.
April 17, 2008 at 10:14 pm
Eli Rabett
The problem is that you can get consumed in the present leaving nothing for the future. The only way out is to NOT do things that you are currently doing to allow time and resources for dealing with non-immediate fires. NOT doing something means someone loses. NOT doing things that will ameliorate future problems, well, the future never elected anyone.
October 13, 2008 at 12:09 pm
inel
Hello Fergus,
I do hope you are feeling well these days, and I have missed being in touch. Your point about getting priorities sorted out is well made, and well taken.
So, here I am, getting involved in so many extra activities, I have to let some fall by the wayside, and in that sense I agree with Eli: I have to choose NOT to do things that are expected of me, even if that makes me feel uncomfortably out-of-step with most of my peers while I prioritise my efforts as being for the common good in the long run. For example, …
This afternoon I am heading to Parliament Square for an event at which I may be twice the age of most participants, but the smiles on the faces of my kids when I told them where I would be this evening, and why, were priceless.
I am going to be at Climate Rush.
The link tells you a little more, but in summary, we are holding a rally on the 100th anniversary of the Suffragettes’ Rush into Parliament.
The plan is to present Gordon Brown with the latest climate research and these three demands:
1. No airport expansion.
2. No dirty coal fired power stations.
3. Cross-party policy in line with the most recent climate research and science.
Personally, I would rephrase points 2 and 3 to read something like:
2. No new coal-fired power stations without CCS capability
3. Government policies for climate, energy and transport must be developed in line with the most up-to-date peer-reviewed climate science and research
but that’s because I do think we need to make CCS specific and a condition for permitting new power plant plans, and we also need to integrate policies that deal with the burning of fuel and associated emissions wherever they occur (no more free rides for aviation) 😉
October 16, 2008 at 1:04 pm
guthrie
And of course CCS is still experimental and nobody wants to do it anyway…
So how did it go? Did you get arrested as terrorists?
October 16, 2008 at 11:19 pm
fergusbrown
Interesting comments, people. Some thoughts;
airport expansion – what’s the logic? Generally, the justification for this is purely economic, and much of it nebulous at best. I think we need to remind these people that just looking at the money and bypassing the other parts of the balance sheet is no longer going to wash.
Development must provide a range of benefits to be sustainable. The current air transport plans are by and large not sustainable by any of the criteria apart from the putatively financial.
Coal fired power. This is the cheapest way to generate power. But the price is not the same as the cost. But then again, they can be put up quickly. Then again, nobody really wants them, just the energy supply they promise. Wrong way round. We need to learn to not need he energy supply.
Policies; actually, I do think they try to do this, but the machinery is slow, so by the time the policy is put together, its already out of date. I would also suggest that here, the science alone is not sufficient. What is needed beyond this is an underlying philosophy, an attitude to our life on earth, which is fundamentally different to the existing idea of exploitation and wealth generation. The message needs to be got across that we are not on this earth either to get rich or to get something for nothing; our purpose and pleasure exist in more fundamental and more simple things, such as love and fellowship, community and service…
Must be tired…